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For week ending Jan. 03, 2008 |
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PHILIPPINE COCO PRODUCTION
FORECAST FOR 2008
UCAP estimates coconut production in 2007 at 2.215 million MT copra terms, 9.7% below 2006 level at 2.452 million MT. The figure is the lowest since 2002 which then recorded 2.308 million MT. The decline was tied to the lagged effect of the destructive typhoons in the last quarter of 2006. Coconut output for 2008 is projected at 2.484 million MT copra terms, exceeding the 2007 level by 12.1%. Production prospects for 2008 have improved based on favorable weather conditions in the prior year. Moreover, the 2007 export performance during the latter part of this year appears to show coconut production has started to recover from the lagged effect of the 2006 destructive typhoons that battered coconut areas in Bicol and parts of Southern Tagalog and the Visayas. Export in 2007 is estimated at 1.649 million MT copra terms, declining by 18.9% from prior year at 2.034 million MT following reduced harvest. For 2008, export is anticipated to post a 15.9% recovery from prior year to 1.911 million MT copra terms with expected improved output during the year. Breakdown is as follows: coconut oil 990,000 MT (+17.3% from 843,639 MT estimated in 2007); copra meal 400,000 MT (+6.1% from 376,889 MT), desiccated coconut 129,000 MT (+0.2% from 128,707 MT), oleochemicals as copra 140,000 MT (+25.8% from 111,288 MT). PHILIPPINE COCO EXPORT DOWN IN NOVEMBER 2007Preliminary UCAP data show coconut products export in November reached 139,980 MT copra terms to record a deficit of 16.4% from 167,400 MT at the same time last year. This scaled back by 37.2% previous month figure and current year high at 223,071 MT. Copra meal was an only gainer enhancing load by 13.1% at 30,702 MT from 27,147 MT. Other products registered shortfall: coconut oil at 71,213 MT lagged by 13.8% from year-ago at 82,567 MT, desiccated coconut at 8,723 MT plunged 23.1% from 11,348 MT, oleochemicals at 13,457 MT as copra slumped 28.4% from 18,796 MT. Cumulative figure for January-November at 1,514,103 MT reduced by 19.2% a similar period year-ago total at 1,873,736 MT. Breakdown is as follows, in MT: coconut oil 774,088 (984,647 last year), copra meal 357,591 (400,201), desiccated coconut 119,430 (126,715), oleochemicals as copra 100,744 (114,894). DESTINATIONS OF COCONUT OIL, COPRA MEAL EXPORTS IN NOVEMBER 2007The United States was major destination of coconut oil in November with delivery of 38,935 MT to account for 54.7% of total. Turnover to the European market was 23,500 MT which represented 33.0% of aggregate. Other outlets were Japan with purchases of 7,078 MT and Malaysia with 1,700 MT for respective market shares of 9.9% and 2.4%. Korea and Vietnam were exclusive buyers of copra meal with the former responsible for 25,414 MT or 82.8% and the latter the remainder amounting to 5,288 MT or 17.2%. CIIF OIL MILLS GROUP, FARMERS GROUP INKED AGREEMENT TO BOOST PHILIPPINE COCO INDUSTRYThe Coconut Industry Investment Fund (CIIF) Oil Mills Group represented by its President and CEO Danilo M. Coronacion and the Federation of Free Farmers (FFF) represented by its President Leonardo Q. Montemayor recently signed a Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) to operate the various components of the Coconut Farm Development Program (CFDP). CFDP is a comprehensive program that hopes to bring about countrywide development through the promotion of efficient, competitive and sustainable coconut farming systems. It has four main components: 1) establishment of nurseries, 2) intercropping in coconut farms, 3) coconut value-adding, and 4) operation of an agribusiness service kiosk. CIIF Oils Mills Group, a private entity operating coconut oil mills in major coconut areas in the country, tapped several networks of farmer organizations to assist in the implementation of the program at the ground level. The program aims to develop 1.3 million hectares of agri-business lands and to increase the productivity of coconut farm systems by providing small coconut farmers and their families with livelihood, employment, and income opportunities. Before the signing of the agreement, the CIIF Oil Mills signed a memorandum of understanding with FFF, small coconut farmer?s cooperatives/organizations, educational institutions, and local government units to form a national network called the FFF-CFDP Network, to implement the coconut program. INDIAN COCONUT HARVEST TO GROW SHARPLYAccording to a Coconut Development Board official, the country?s coconut production is set for a quantum jump in 2007/08 to touch 16 billion nuts. The projection was based on a study by the Kasaragod-based Central Plantation Crops Research Institute (CPCRI) that forecasts nut production to increase by 31.4% over the base year 2003/04 with recorded output at 12.17 billion nuts. Production in 2005/06 increased 21.6% to 14.8 billion nuts over the base year level. Increase in production was credited to improved yields. Kerala leads with output of 6 billion nuts, trailed by Tamil Nadu with 4.8 billion nuts and Karnataka with 1.2 billion nuts. India is one of the top coconut growers in the world. The average productivity of coconut in the country is 7,608 nuts per ha (2005/06). Among the four major coconut growing states, Tamil Nadu has the highest yield at 13,133 nuts/ha, followed by Andhra Pradesh with 8,577 nuts/ha, Kerala with 7,046 nuts/ha and Karnataka with 3,139 nuts/ha. The four southern states jointly account for 90% of the country?s total coconut production. CHINESE IMPORT OF LAURIC OILS DOWN IN OCTOBERAccording to statistics from Oil World, China imported 36,000 MT of lauric oils in October this year. As against 37,200 MT uptake in a similar period last year, current level indicates a 3.5% shortfall. Palm kernel oil, which accounted for 92.2% of total lauric import, increased volume by 38.3% to 33,200 MT from 24,000 MT. Coconut oil, which shared 7.8%, dropped substantially by 78.9% to 2,800 MT from 13,300 MT. Malaysia was the leading source of lauric oil during the month delivering palm kernel oil only at 17,700 MT (2,900 MT year-ago) for a 49.2% market share. Indonesia supplied slightly lower volume representing 47.2% of total during the period or 17,000 MT (34,000 MT) of which 15,500 MT was palm kernel oil and 1,500 MT was coconut oil. The Philippines was responsible for merely 1,300 MT (300 MT) of coconut oil or 3.6% of total uptake. Cumulative January-October figure at 424,400 MT was lower by 19.4% from a comparable year-ago period data at 355,400 MT. Of the total, palm kernel oil was 317,600 MT (208,100 MT) and coconut oil was 106,800 MT (147,300 MT). Coconut oil shipment from the Philippine was 9,100 MT, a massive drop of 60.8% from 23,200 MT year-ago. CHINA TO TAX GRAIN AND OTHER BASIC FOOD EXPORTSChina will tax this year basic food products for export such as wheat and soybean in a bid to curb a surge in food prices by encouraging producers to sell more at home. The tax will also apply to corn, rice, and other basic products. The new tax measure, which will range 5-25%, adds to a series of government measures to rein in food price inflation that soared to a monthly rate of 18.2% in November, driven by shortages of pork, grain and other items. China recently canceled export tax rebates on wheat, corn and 82 other categories of grains. Beijing offers rebates on export taxes to various producers to promote exports. PALM OIL IMPORT PROHIBITED THROUGH ALL PORTS IN KERALA, INDIAThe Directorate General of Foreign Trade (DGFT) in India issued a notification dated December 24, 2007 banning the import of palm oil products through any port of Kerala. It may be recalled that on October 16, 2007, import through Kochi was banned. Thus the new notification effectively extends the ban through all ports (mainly Kochi and Calicut) in the state of Kerala. Accordingly, palm oil and its fractions, whether or not refined but not chemically modified, can be imported into the country subject to condition that entry will not be through any port in Kerala. BV Mehta, executive director of the Solvent Extractors? Association (SEA) said the selective step does not fit in the framework free market and merely add to cost of cooking oil to the consumer and not in public interest. Kerala imports about 75,000 MT per annum through its ports. To protect the interest of coconut growers in the state, the state government had requested the union government to ban the import of palm oil through all South Indian ports but the central government was reluctant to allow the state?s demand. The ban will make palm oil more expensive since it will still come from adjoining state ports such as Chennai (Tamil Nadu) and Mangalore (Karnataka). EU SETS NEW BIOFUELS TARGETS IN 2008A new legislative proposal that would serve to increase the volume of biofuels used in overall fuel consumption is set to be introduced by the EU this month. A draft version of the proposed measure obtained by New Energy Finance requires all EU countries to meet the 10% target by 2010, with another mandatory target of 6.5% set for 2012. It also confirms the long-expected plans by the EU to introduce an environmental sustainability scheme for all biofuels that count towards the target. These biofuels will have to guarantee that they make a certain amount of greenhouse gas savings against fossil fuels over the entire length of their lifecycle. NEW OLEOCHEMICALS PLANT TO BE ERECTED IN SINGAPORENikko Chemicals Co., a Japanese cosmetics producer is to build a US$27 million plant in Singapore to produce ?ethoxylated surfactants,? an ingredient used for cosmetics and toiletries. The plant is being built on 1.2 hectares of land in the Jurong Island petrochemical hub on western part of Singapore. The project is co-funded with Nihon Surfactant Kogyo which is, as well as Nikko, a member of the Nikko Group. The group of seven companies provides technical support and tailor-made solutions for the cosmetics and toiletry businesses. Construction of the plant began this month and is expected to be completed in November 2008, with full-scale operations targeted for 2009. The plant will ?utilize palm oil and other plant-derived oils, abundantly available in the area surrounding Singapore?. It expects production to hit 3,000 tons per year for the first two years before raising it up to 5,000 tons per year. |